A 17% import tax has been slapped on most fresh Mexican tomatoes. Proponents of the tariffs say it’ll help rebuild the shrinking tomato industry in the United States, but experts say prices will go up as much as 10% at the store in the meantime.

American consumers could see a price hike and some restaurant owners may face shutting down, as a nearly three-decade-old US-Mexico trade agreement may give way to 20.9% tariffs on most Mexican tomato imports on July 14.

Mexico is the world's largest tomato exporter and 70% of fresh tomatoes imported to the U.S. come from Mexico — $3.12 billion worth in 2024. The duty may require U.S. consumers to pay up to 50% more for tomatoes.